Friday, September 30, 2011

Alan's Weekend Weather - 09/30/11

We'll start with sunshine today and then see some developing clouds later this morning. If not then, during the afternoon. During the afternoon hours, there's the chance a few showers or sprinkles may pop up with highs in the upper 70s to near 80, but cooler along the coast with a sea breeze.

Now, some showers may move through during the night ahead. Friday night lows in the chillier 50s, but maybe 60 or so in the far south coast.

More clouds and sun for Saturday with still the chance of a few showers at any time with highs from just 58 to 63. Whether or not you can get in a golf game or any outdoor activities tomorrow remains to be seen. Certainly it's a possibility, but you have to include the chance of a few showers anytime tomorrow.

Sunday, we'll have clouds and some sun with still the risk of a few showers, at least in parts of the state. Sunday's highs may only be in 50s, but near 60 or so at best.

We have two tropical weather systems, Felipe, which is hanging on, but Ophelia is becoming a very strong hurricane. It may pass over Bermuda in the next day or two before it heads out into the North Atlantic.

Thursday, September 29, 2011

Alan's Weather - 09/29/11

We still have the risk of some passing showers today. Earlier, we've seen downpours again in portions of Hunterdon, Warren, and Sussex County. Almost the same kind of line of showers in the same place as 24 hours ago.

But, other parts of the state may have a passing shower or two. Otherwise, variable clouds and some sun today with a few highs around or just a bit over 80, but cooler 70s along the coast.

Any early evening showers will end. Then becoming mostly clear overnight with some lows in the 50s, but low to mid 60s urban and coastal areas.

Some sun and clouds Friday with just the chance of a shower. Hopefully, it will be a dry day for a change with temperatures just in the 70s.

Much cooler this weekend as we look for clouds and some sun Saturday with still the chance of a few showers. Highs Saturday in the low 60s. Partly sunny Sunday with highs again in the low 60s.

Our two tropical weather systems, Ophelia and Felipe, are still milling about in the Atlantic Ocean, but are of no concern to any land areas, such as the Leeward Islands or the east coast of the United States.

We're in fine shape there.

Wednesday, September 28, 2011

Alan's Weather - 09/28/11

A few high temperatures yesterday reached the low 80s; Newark Liberty Airport was 80, while Trenton-Mercer County Airport was the highest one of all at 83. Of course, it was noticeably cooler near the beach and boardwalk.

Today, we've already had a few heavy downpours, and there can be a few showers with that kind of concept moving through during today. With humidity, most highs today in the 70s.

Some showers around tonight and tomorrow. Again, there could be some heavy ones tonight or tomorrow. Rather humid 60s tonight, except near 70s south coast.

And highs Thursday 77 to 82, but cooler again near the water.

We'll have clouds and some sunshine Friday with temperatures mostly in the 70s, although there's still the chance of a shower around.

And I can't rule out an afternoon or evening light shower in a few spots on Saturday and Sunday, especially Saturday. But I want to point out that hopefully most of the upcoming weekend will be alright.

Our two tropical storms are just that, actually one tropical storm to be, Ophelia, will be reclassified as one today. Felipe is continuing on its northwestward-north-northwest track. They will be no concern to the United States at all in the days ahead.

Tuesday, September 27, 2011

Alan's Weather - 09/27/11

High temperatures Monday reached the upper 70s and low 80s; low 80s in Newark, Trenton, and Wrightstown, Burlington County. That's almost 9 or 10 degrees above the normal high of 72 or 73.

Today, we'll have clouds and some sunshine after early fog gets out of the way. There's still the chance of a shower late, especially near the Delaware River, but most of the state today will be okay. Some highs of 78 to 82, but cooler along the coast.

And some showers should move through the night with areas of fog again with some lows back in the 60s, but 70 or so south coast.

Some showers still seem likely during the course of Wednesday with highs back in the 70s.

And some showers still moving through Thursday with a few highs around 80 or close to it, but cooler again Thursday near the ocean.

As we head into Friday, we should start to dry out and improve, and turn cooler. And that cooling trend should be lasting into the upcoming weekend. I suppose a sprinkle can't be ruled out in the afternoon or evening hours this weekend. For the most part, though, it should be dry. And that is certainly welcome.

Monday, September 26, 2011

A Look Ahead at the Week

The weekend forecast turned out much better than expected. We had little to no rain for the entire weekend. Temperatures by Sunday reached the upper 70's and low 80's away from the ocean. A normal high of 73 or 74, so we were quite a bit above that, at least away from the ocean.

Today, we'll have clouds and some intervals of sunshine. It doesn't look like there will be chance of any shower activity. If there is it will be in far southern counties.

Some fog and low clouds will return for the nighttime hours ahead.

Tuesday offers the risk of a shower, especially in the afternoon and evening, in parts of the state. Tuesday night into Wednesday looks to feature more in the way of rain and showers. However after what happened over the weekend, we may be a little bit conservative on that note.

The tropics are active but not anything of concern here. Ophelia is no longer a disturbance.

Friday, September 23, 2011

Flooding Risks Ahead as Jersey Gets More Rain

High temperatures yesterday were close to my 80 degree forecast. It reached 81 in Newark and Atlantic City. In Trenton, it was 82. The normal high for this time period is about 74 degrees.

Today will be mostly in the 70's because some rain will develop, and it could become heavy at times this afternoon and this evening. There's a floodwatch in effect for today and Saturday for the entire state. One to three inches of rain is expected to fall, perhaps a bit more in spots. That could cause some flooding concerns, especially on highways and smaller streams and creeks.

Rain and showers will be moving through during the night ahead. Statewide lows from the mid 60s to 70s.

Of the two weekend days, Saturday will see the most rain. I'm not sure if there will be much rain around Sunday during the day. Weekend highs upper 70s to perhaps 80, cooler near the ocean.

Ophelia is barley hanging on as a Tropical Storm, and will probably not strengthen much. It's possible it will weaken some in the days ahead.

Have a good weekend!

Thursday, September 22, 2011

The Rain Continues

We'll watch today for the chance of a few showers. Otherwise, variable clouds with breaks of sun possible. A few highs near 80, but cooler near the ocean.

There's a chance of a few showers tonight. Statewide lows from the mid 60's to the low 70's. We have a flood watch back in effect from later Friday into the weekend for much of South, Central and Northen New Jersey. It's going to be one to three inches of rain, maybe four when all is said and done.

Rain is also likely tomorrow, heavy at times. Highs just in the 70's.

Showers will still be around this weekend, especially Saturday. Weekend highs upper 70's to perhaps 80. Still cooler along the coast.

We have Tropical Storm Ophelia to watch for. It's pretty much holding its own with 55 to 60 miles per hour sustained winds. It may weaken a little bit in the days ahead.

Tuesday, September 20, 2011

Threat of Showers Most of the Week

There's the chance of a shower in parts of the state today. Otherwise variable clouds with some sun. Highs in the 70's, but a bit cooler along the coast with a wind off the water. I think most of the night in most places should be rain free. Partly to mostly cloudy, with 50's to 60's.

Showers will be developing during Wednesday though, with highs back in the 70's. More humid Thursday with still the risk of a few showers back in the 70's, but cooler near the ocean. Actually it looks like there's the chance of at least a few off and showers for Friday, into the upcoming weekend.

In the tropics we have a disturbance that show signs of organization, and could become the next tropical depression. It's a bit early to say though if that will happen.

Monday, September 19, 2011

Alan's Weather - 09/19/11

The weekend forecast worked out reasonably well. High temperatures yesterday only reached the upper 60s to around 70. The normal high is around 76 or 77, so we were a little bit below that. Of course, we had lots of clouds and just some sunshine.

Well today, we are looking for variable clouds and some sunshine, but it should be rain-free. Temperatures will be in the upper 60s to low 70s, but coolest near the ocean with a wind off the water.

Showers will be approaching by daybreak Tuesday morning in parts of the state, at least central and northern New Jersey. I'm not sure there will be very much in southern counties to start with tomorrow morning.

But there will be the risk of a few passing showers during the course of Tuesday with high temperatures in the low or middle 70s. Again cooler near the ocean.

Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday look to feature at least some semblance of unsettled weather. That is clouds, some sunshine, and still the risk of a shower.

Nothing too much going on in the Tropics. One disturbance well east of the Windward Islands needs to be monitored for signs of development.

Friday, September 16, 2011

Alan's Weekend Weather - 09/16/11

Mets losing again. Well, what can I say? I'm a Mets fan. I'm doomed to failure.

Anyway, partly to mostly sunny and cool today with temps just in the 60s in New Jersey, but mid to upper 60s this afternoon.

Now, it may become partly cloudy tonight with some lows in the 40s and low 50s urban and coastal areas.

Clouds and just some sun tomorrow with upper 60s at best, and just a bit cooler near the ocean with a brisk wind off the water.

Some clouds may be around Sunday near 70 or so. Actually, there may be some rain or showers that we'll be flirting with on the far south coast this weekend, but I think basically it'll be rain free. Saturday and Sunday may have more clouds than sunshine both days.

As we look at Hurricane Maria, which will be moving past and over the southeastern corner of Newfoundland in the next 12 to 18 hours, it'll become extra tropical. Still though, it'll get a pretty good blow up there from an 80 MPH hurricane as it moves across the southeastern corner of the Canadian Maritime Provinces.

Have a good week everybody. See you Monday.

Thursday, September 15, 2011

Alan's Weather - 09/15/11

High temperatures yesterday reached the upper 80s to near 90; 90 at the Robert Miller Air park in the Pine Barrens of Ocean County, and 88 in Atlantic City and Newark for highs. It was cooler near the ocean with a wind off the water.

Warm to start today, warmer than I thought for a while with showers moving through, but windy and much much cooler by late today with temperatures by this evening probably settling into the cooler 60s.

It'll be down into the 40s tomorrow morning and clear and chilly with low to mid 50s in urban and coastal areas.

Quite cool Friday with sunshine and patchy clouds. Highs Friday just in the 60s.

And it'll be clouds and some sunshine on Saturday. We'll call it partly cloudy with a brisk wind and highs only in the 60s.

Sun and clouds on Sunday with temps near 70 or so at best.

Maria will be rocketing past New Jersey in the next 12 to 24 hours producing some swells with its 65 MPH winds. But that's all. It's no concern to us at all, other than the waves in the ocean over the next day or two.

Wednesday, September 14, 2011

Alan's Weather - 09/14/11

High temperatures yesterday reached 85 or 86. Atlantic City Airport reached 85, and Newark Liberty Airport reached 86, which was above the normal high of 78 by a fair degree.

Temperatures today will be in the middle to upper 80s, but cooler near the beach and boardwalk with some sunshine. Now, there is some suggestion again that there might be a shower chance, mostly near the Delaware River in South Jersey and northwestern counties by late this afternoon or this evening. I think that's pushing the envelope. I think the threat of any showers across the state will wait until later tonight.

Certainly, Thursday looks to feature clouds with just intervals of sun or brightening skies, and the risk of passing showers anytime, possibly thunderstorms. Temperatures will start to cool off tomorrow, starting out perhaps in the 70s, and then falling into the 60s in the afternoon with a northwest wind.

It's going to be quite cool for Friday with some sunshine and some patchy clouds, and temperatures that might not be out of the 60s for highs on Friday.

And over the weekend, a similar kind of weather pattern will hold up, though it should be rain free.

Tuesday, September 13, 2011

Alan's Weather - 09/13/11

Monday's high temperatures reached the low 80s as expected; 83 in Newark and Atlantic City. The normal high for New Jersey now is 78, so we were a little bit above the seasonal average yesterday.

Today's highs will be in the low to middle 80s with mostly sunny skies and moderate humidity. It'll be in the cooler 70s along the coast. It will be a very nice day, no question about it.

And we'll have some clear skies tonight with some lows in the 60s, maybe a few 50s in the coolest spots, and around 70 near the ocean.

Some sunshine Wednesday back in the 80s, but a bit cooler along the coast. I've taken out the mention of any showers for Wednesday evening and Wednesday night. Instead, I've pushed them back to Thursday.

There's the chance of a few showers Thursday under a partly cloudy sky with highs just in the 70s.

Maria is still a tropical storm heading very slowly toward the northwest. It'll turn north-northwest to north and eventually east in the many days ahead. It'll take a track very similar to what Katia did, passing many hundred miles east of New Jersey in the days ahead.

Monday, September 12, 2011

Alan's Weather - 09/12/11

The weekend forecast turned out reasonably close to what we predicted. We predicted clouds and some sunshine with a shower and thunderstorm chance. That was certainly true of Sunday in spots. And Saturday it reached 87 in Atlantic City; 80 yesterday there, although it was in the low to middle 70s elsewhere Sunday.

Well today, we are looking for clouds and some sunshine and temperatures that will be in the lower 80s or so for highs this afternoon, but a bit cooler near the water. There is the chance of perhaps a shower or an isolated thunderstorm popping up in just a few spots. I'm not sure that it'll be very much in the way of activity today.

It may last into the first part of the night in some parts of the state-Central and South Jersey especially. And then we'll get clearing skies overnight, and cooler and drier weather will come in for the next couple of days.

As we look at the tropics, we have Maria, which is going to be turning northwest and north, passing mid-way between Cape Hatteras and Bermuda. That's the track that Katia took not too long ago. That's probably what Maria will take in the many days ahead. Surf will build here in New Jersey in the days ahead, but that's about it.

And that's about it for now. More weather coming along tomorrow.

Friday, September 9, 2011

Alan's Weekend Weather - 09/09/11

Thursday's high temperature reached near 80 at Newark Liberty Airport. Everybody else was in the mid to upper 70s as expected with some showers around, especially near the Delaware River.

Now today, we'll have clouds and some sunshine with humidity. There's the chance of a shower or thunderstorm today, especially near the Delaware River. I'm not sure it's going to be pop up near anywhere else, but we'll see. A few highs in the lower 80s, but cooler along the coast.

Katia will be moving away off-shore 400 miles or better from New Jersey today, and will be producing some high surf and dangerous rip currents today, as well.

Now, there's the better for a few showers or a thunderstorm for overnight with most lows in the 60s.

And it'll be cloudy to partly sunny Saturday with still the chance of a shower or thunderstorm either day. Lower 80s Saturday and 70s to perhaps 80 Sunday, but it'll be cooler both weekend days near the ocean.

Thursday, September 8, 2011

Alan's Weather- 09/08/11

We have not one, not two, but three tropical weather systems going. We have Nate in the southernmost Gulf of Mexico and the Bay of Campeche. We have Katia, which is about 300 miles west of Bermuda between the US east coast and Bermuda, passing northbound. And we have Maria, which is east of the Leeward Islands speeding along with 50 MPH winds.

Anyway, Maria is the most interest to us because Katia is going to be passing many hundreds of miles to the east of New Jersey tomorrow, and will just be producing large swells we'll be seeing today and again Friday. Maria, though, could be a little bit more of an interesting story in the many days ahead.

Until then, some showers and even a thunderstorm is moving through today. Parts of the state, not all, may get some heavy downpours. Highs in the lower 80s, and cooler 70s near the ocean.

Any showers around tonight may tend to taper off in some spots with lows in the 60s to low 70s.

Tomorrow still humid with clouds and some sunshine with the chance of another shower or thunderstorm Friday with highs in the low to middle 80s, but cooler again at the beaches.

Some sunshine this weekend, but still the risk of another shower or thunderstorm, especially Saturday. Weekend highs in the 80s, but cooler this weekend near the ocean.

Wednesday, September 7, 2011

Alan's Weather - 09/07/11

Hurricane Katia is about 800 miles to the south-southeast of Cape May and has weakened to a Category 1 hurricane with only 90 mile an hour winds. It's still a powerful storm, and it's going to create large swells by tomorrow, and especially Friday along the Jersey shore as it passes probably 350 to 400 miles east of the Jersey shore during the course of the day Friday.

For us, we have some light or drizzle around today, but a few heavier showers are certainly possible. We're seeing that already in some of the western counties near the Delaware River. Some highs just in the 70s, but cooler along the coast with a brisk wind.

Some rain or showers still seem likely for tonight and tomorrow. Low tonight 62 to 72 statewide, and highs tomorrow mostly in the 70s.

Clouds and finally some sunshine Friday, but it still may shower. Highs Friday 77 to 82, but cooler again near the ocean.

Hopefully the weekend will turn out to be okay, although we're not quite sure about that just yet.

Tuesday, September 6, 2011

Alan Returns- 09/06/11

The long holiday weekend worked out reasonably well. There were some showers scattered around yesterday for Labor Day.

Today we'll have some rain moving through during the day and tonight, and some heavy downpours are certainly possible. The moisture comes from a tropical storm that was once named Lee interacting with a weather boundary headed towards New Jersey. Highs today upper 60s to mid 70s. Lows tonight in the 60s, except near 70 along the south coast.

Occasional showers still seem likely for Wednesday with highs back in the 70s, but cooler by a little bit near the beaches.

And some showers are still possible, believe it or not for Thursday, with highs in the low 80s, but 70s near the ocean.

Speaking of near the ocean, we have powerful Hurricane Katia, which is moving northwest, and will be passing mid-way between Bermuda and the North Carolina coast in a couple of days time. It'll certainly make the ocean very rough with large swells coming in time, and making dangerous rip currents and the like.

That's the only impact we expect unless there is a last minute surprise change in the track. We expect it to pass many hundreds of miles east of New Jersey on it's track northeastward out to sea in the many days ahead.

That's it for now. More weather coming along tomorrow.

Thursday, September 1, 2011

Alan's Weather Blog On Vacation

Alan will be on vacation until September 6th. His blog returns on that day!