Wednesday, October 26, 2011

Alan's Weather - 10/26/11

Starting with Tuesday's high temperatures. It ranged from as low as 63 at Wrightstown, Burlington County to as high as 67 in Atlantic City International Airport.

Today's temperatures will be a touch milder because I think we'll have variable clouds and some sunshine today with a few highs from 67 to perhaps 72. I've taken out just the chance of a shower. I think anybody that mentions it is crazy, so I didn't put it in my forecast for today.

Tonight's a different story. There will be showers developing during the hours after midnight and some lows will be in the mid 40s to low 50s, but closer to 60 along the south coastal communities.

And as we expected, there will be some rain for Thursday with statewide highs from 52 to 62.

Sunshine comes back Friday with highs just in the 50s.

And it looks as though a storm system will be developing in the southeastern states and come close enough to us Saturday to bring us some wind and rain. But that will be gone in time to salvage a nice Sunday.

Tuesday, October 25, 2011

Alan's Weather - 10/25/11

Highest temperatures Monday reached 63 to 66, just a shade above the normal high of 62 to 64.

Today, we'll have lots of sunshine and mostly sunny with a brisk wind, though. Highs will be in the low to middle 60s, just a shade above the normal high for this time of the year.

We'll have clear to partly cloudy skies for the night ahead with some 40s for lows, but low 50s near the ocean.

Tomorrow, there is just the slight chance of a brief shower, but more than likely not with variable clouds and maybe some sun. Highs will be in the mid 60s to perhaps just a shade over 70 in southern New Jersey.

Then a disturbance riding the jet stream will bring some likely rain on Thursday with highs statewide from 53 to 63. Although, there's some sign that it could be milder than that in far southern New Jersey for Thursday afternoon.

Friday looks okay, and then we'll have to wait and see if we have a storm threat for Saturday. Some of the models are diverging on this idea, but I'm kinda leaning towards the idea of a storm creating rain and wind for Saturday.

Sunday looks okay from here.

Monday, October 24, 2011

Alan's Weather - 10/24/11

The weekend forecast worked out reasonably well. It was in the low to middle 60s both days. Yesterday, for example, Atlantic City reached 65, 61 in Trenton and Wrightstown, Burlington County. The normal high is 63 or 64 now, so we were within range of normal for this time of the year.

Today, we'll have clouds and some sun, but variable clouds. The risk of a scattered shower comes into the picture probably after the day is over, not until this evening or the first part of the night. A few scattered light showers are possible, and then we'll have some clearing during the early morning hours later tonight. Highs today in the 60, while lows tonight will be in the 40s, but perhaps a few 30s are possible in a few of the coolest spots.

There will be a gusty wind tomorrow with sunshine, and lots of it. Temperatures will be in the low to middle 60s Tuesday afternoon.

Wednesday may have the risk of some showers once again, as the next weather system arrives.

We have a new tropical storm, Rina, the 17th of the season down in the Caribbean. It may drift around for a while before coming to the Yucatan Channel in the many days ahead.

Friday, October 21, 2011

Alan's Weekend Weather - 10/21/11

It only reached the low to middle 60s yesterday. Today will be no better than the low 60s as sunshine mixes with patchy clouds and a brisk wind, but not as much wind as yesterday.

A clear to partly cloudy night ahead with some lows in the mid 30s to low 40s, but upper 40s to around 50 south coast.

A partly sunny Saturday and Sunday await. Saturday's highs will be in the low 60s, and low to perhaps mid 60s for Sunday.

The National Weather Service has indicated a perhaps cold and snowy winter in their preliminary winter outlook.

They base it on a couple of things:
1. La Nina, which is present now and often makes southern storm tracks and coastal storms for New Jersey and the northeast.

2. Also, the Arctic Oscillation, or the North Atlantic Oscillation. If it's negative more than positive, it may have a detrimental effect on our winter.

We will have to wait and see.

Wednesday, October 19, 2011

Alan's Weather - 10/19/11

Well quite simply, the rain today that occurs in New Jersey can be heavy at times, enough that there can be areas that have between 1 and 2 inches of rain when all is said and done later tonight.

Now, that will hopefully not cause any concern other than minor flooding on roadways. Hopefully, streams, rivers, and creeks will be able to handle the rainfall, and we think it will. There will also be tidal flooding at the times of high tide early this afternoon along the oceanfront and later in the back bays.

Many temperatures will be just in the 60s. And some rain and showers will be around tonight with lows from 58 up to 67.

Windy tomorrow, but this time from the southwest. Dry, patchy clouds and sunshine with most highs Thursday in the upper 60s.

And partly sunny and breezy Friday, but cooler with some highs Friday only in the lower 60s.

That's probably where we will be, in the low to mid 60s, over the weekend with some sunshine. The weekend still looks fine from here.

Tuesday, October 18, 2011

Alan's Weather - 10/18/11

Highest temperatures yesterday reached 73 in Atlantic City, but a little bit cooler elsewhere with mainly in the upper 60s to near 70.

Today, with sunshine and patchy clouds, highs will be in the low to perhaps middle 70s this afternoon. It'll be a bit cooler near the ocean.

It'll cloud up in the night ahead. Watch for the chance of some rain late with statewide lows from 53 to 63.

A storm system will be coming up the East Coast tomorrow, and that means wind and rain. Some of the rain will be heavy at times. The winds will increase to 20 to 35 with higher gusts, especially along the coastline.

Some highs for Wednesday may not be out of the 60s. Rain may start tapering off by evening or at night.

I indicated just the chance of a shower early Thursday. I easily could have left that out of the forecast. Otherwise, partly sunny with a brisk wind and highs in the upper 60s Thursday afternoon.

And Friday and the weekend, look okay as of now.

Monday, October 17, 2011

Alan's Weather - 10/17/11

The weekend worked out pretty much as expected. Temperatures were maybe just a shade above what I predicted, which was well into the 60s. Yesterday, it reached 72 in Atlantic City, 70 in Newark Liberty Airport; just a shade above my upper 60s that I predicted for Sunday.

Today, we'll have temperatures that will be at or just a shade above 70 after just the chance of a passing shower in northern and central Jersey around daybreak this morning or shortly thereafter. We should have some clouds breaking with sunshine and a brisk wind. As I said, temperatures will be perhaps in the low 70s this afternoon with no sea breeze. today as far as I can tell.

Now, there may be a disturbance coming through later tonight or first thing early Tuesday morning with just the chance of a light shower or sprinkle toward daybreak Tuesday morning. Otherwise, clouds and some sunshine tomorrow with temperatures in the upper 60s to perhaps the low 70s.

Then, a storm system coming out of Yucatan Peninsula in the southern Gulf of Mexico will tie up with a cold front and bring some pretty good rain and wind here for Wednesday later this week.