Info on what's to come

Most, if not all, of this Tuesday will be snow-free. The earliest chance of snow will be in far south Jersey by very late this afternoon or this evening....say 5 to 7pm. Temperatures today will be mainly in the 30s, not that it couldn't touch 40 in northern New Jersey.

Then the storm will get underway tonight and really get going late tonight and tomorrow. There's some issues to be dealing with...beyond the final snowfall totals. There's the chance, along the south coast in Atlantic and Cape May counties, amounts could be less because of a mix of sleet and rain that occurs late tonight and early tomorrow. I'm only going for a final amount of 6-9 inches in coastal far south Jersey. Maybe even less in Cape May. Elsewhere, the rest of the state, will have 8-12 inches and possibly more.

There's not going to be too much wind building until late at night or first thing in the morning. It's going to become very windy Wednesday, so there's going to be a lot of blowing and drifting snow, and there might be some blizzard-like conditions.

It's not all going to taper off and end until tomorrow evening or even tomorrow night. By then, final snowfall amounts will be 8-12 inches, possibly more...except lower amounts along the south coast with the sleet and rain.

We'll be cold dry and windy with some sun and clouds for Thursday. Highs in the 30s.

Snow - the sequel

One snowstorm gone...another one on its way. You don't often hear me say that within days of each other, but that's going to be the case in New Jersey for Tuesday night and Wednesday.

But first, our Monday will feature lots of sunshine. There will be a brisk wind, and highs will be generally in the low or middle 30s just about everywhere. Clear most of the night ahead. Some lows back in the teens...low 20s urban and coastal areas.

It'll become cloudy tomorrow. There's the chance of snow by evening in southern New Jersey. Highs in the 30s.

I've simply stated that a snowstorm is likely for Tuesday night into Wednesday, and windy again Wednesday. Highs - mid 20s to low 30s. There are a few different factors in this upcoming event. One...there may be just enough warm air coming in to southern and coastal counties that could form a mix of precipitation Tuesday night. That could hold amounts under a foot...maybe more like 6 inches. That's a possibility, not a guarantee. There's certainly room for a foot or more in all of south Jersey, including the coastal communities. Even if it does go to a wintry mix for a while Tuesday night, it's going to change to heavy snow for a good part of Wednesday...before it ends late in the day.

The good news...we don't see any storms coming after that. It looks dry and cold for Thursday and Friday...hopefully for the upcoming weekend as well.

The Big Storm is Here

The snow has arrived and is hitting South Jersey especially hard. A blizzard warning will remain in effect until 7pm for Ocean, Eastern Burlington, Atlantic, Cape May and Cumberland Counties.
Minor to localized flooding is expected.

Snow will be heavy at times with lots of blowing and drifting snow.

Final snow amounts up to 20 inches in parts of South Jersey. Eight to 12 inches or so along the Rt. 1 Corridor, but just 4 to 7 inches from Hunterton, Somerset and Union Counties. Two inches or less Morris and Warren Counties in North West Jersey. Temps settling in the 20s.

Snow will taper off from North to South this afternoon and early this evening. Clearing tonight with lows in the teens.

Sunshine will return tomorrow with highs mainly in the 20s.

Here's some weather totals as of 9:30 am...

Atlantic City (Atlantic County) - 12.3 inches
Beachwood (Ocean County) - 10 inches
Blackwood (Camden County) - 13 inches
Cape May (Cape May County) - 11 inches
Delran (Burlington County) - 12 inches
Flemington (Hunterdon County) -8 inches
Greenwich Township (Warren County) - 6 inches
Hammonton (Atlantic County) - 14 inches
Linwood (Atlantic County) - 15 inches
Mount Holly (Burlington County) - 10 inches
National Park (Gloucester County) - 18 inches
Pleasantville (Atlantic County) - 12.3 inches
Quinton (Salem County) - 18 inches
Sicklerville (Camden County) - 15 inches
Sewell (Gloucester County) - 17 inches
Vineland (Cumberland County) - 12 inches

NJ braces for "the big snow"

Our Friday weather in New Jersey will feature overcast skies. Temperatures mostly in the 30s. I put around 40 for south Jersey, but I don't know if I necessarily believe that. Speaking of south Jersey, that's where the earliest chance for snow will be. It's going to be dry all day for the rest of the state. Snow will gradually overspread New Jersey during tonight. It may not make it to north of Route 78 in north Jersey until after midnight. It will become heavy at times overnight, especially central and south Jersey, and very windy along the beach and boardwalk.

I'm still a little bit disturbed by the fact that the WRF forecast model has got much less snowfall in central and north Jersey than the other models do, but putting that aside and saying it's an outlier, here are my final amounts... 12 to perhaps 18 inches in south Jersey (Ocean and Burlington counties on south). There's a chance for up to two feet in the southernmost counties (Atlantic, Cape May, Cumberland, Salem). In the Route 1 corridor, north of 195, 5 to perhaps 10 inches. North of there, 2 to maybe 4 inches...and that may be pushing it.

There will be a lot of blowing and drifting later tonight, and especially tomorrow. During tomorrow, the snow may taper off or possibly come to an end in the afternoon in central and north Jersey...while it goes pretty strong for most of the day in south Jersey.

I should point out - There is a blizzard warning in effect until 7pm Saturday for Ocean, Atlantic, Eastern Burlington, Cape May and Cumberland counties.

Looking ahead, Sunday looks good with sunshine returning as we dig out.

Then we turn our attention to perhaps another storm, although nothing in comparison to this. It may produce snow here by Tuesday, Tuesday night, Wednesday of next week.

Making sense of it all...

Our Thursday will feature lots of sunshine and a high around 4o or so this afternoon. Clear early tonight. Clouds increasing later tonight. Lows mainly in the 20s.

Cloudy tomorrow and then we'll watch for some snow by late afternoon or evening from south to north Jersey with highs Friday mainly in the 30s. We have a nightmare of a forecast challenge in front of us...because we're not exactly sure how far north the heaviest snow is going to be. It certainly is going to be south of 195...Ocean and Burlington counties on south. To cut right to the chase, 8-12 inches or even more is likely. Farther north...it's a little bit of a crap shoot to determine how much is going to fall. I'm going for 4 to 6 inches from Route 1 to Route 78...and lesser amounts in the far northern part of New Jersey. I want to point out that where I'm calling for 4 to 6...there could be double that if this storm shifts a little bit farther north. Same thing for far northern New Jersey. They could wind up with more than just 2 to 4 inches. Right now the bulls eye's in South Jersey.

It'll all be gone for Sunday, and we'll have another storm to possibly watch by the middle of next week. Stay tuned...

That snow was just an appetizer

An inch or two of snow has fallen in New Jersey...maybe 2 or 3 inches in a couple of spots, particularly southern and coastal counties. Now we'll have clouds breaking for some sunshine during this afternoon, and temperatures will be mainly and well into the 30s. It'll be clear and colder tonight - in the 20s with teens in the coldest spots.

Lots of sunshine with a brisk wind tomorrow. Back in the 30s.

Clouding up Friday. Snow is possible by as early as evening. Highs in the low 30s. There's no doubt that we're going to have a snowstorm here in New Jersey. The magnitude of which, with strong winds, can be pretty significant. The only issue I have...whether or not there is a chance of a little mixing to sleet and possibly rain in the far southeast of the Garden State. Overall, it looks like a substantial snowfall - 6 inches or maybe a foot plus. Six inches seems to be a lock, as far as I can tell. That could be a conservative estimate, no doubt. There's going to be strong winds, so there's going to be lots of blowing and drifting...beginning late Friday night into Saturday.

By Sunday, the storm will be gone. Could we have yet another storm by Tuesday or Tuesday night of next week? Stay tuned...

Tuesday's outlook

Although our skies will be mostly cloudy today, we should be precipitation-free. A Tuesday high of about 36 or 37 this afternoon. A very interesting, small storm system will be passing by tonight. It's innocent enough in its appearance, but it may not be innocent enough in terms of what it produces. It may produce a coating up to an inch or two in New Jersey tonight. Mid 20s-low 30s for your lows.

It will be ending late at night or first thing tomorrow as flurries. Then clouds and some sun for the majority of tomorrow. Just a few highs in the low 40s.

Then a mostly sunny Thursday. High around 40.

It's becoming increasingly evident, however, that we're going to be impacted here in New Jersey by a major storm system...beginning sometime on Friday, lasting into part of Saturday. It looks like a snowstorm of significance here. We're talking about 6+ inches...with wind too because the storm may really strengthen once it moves just east of Cape Hatteras Friday and Friday night. We could really be impacted big time in New Jersey.

Sunday looks good regardless as the storm moves away.